“All sorts of people make predictions on TV and other media, but their accuracy is never actually measured. They aren’t on TV because they’re good at predicting; they are on TV because they’re good at telling a story, they are interesting, they are entertaining. The real reasons for making forecasts are not always to predict the future. Sometimes forecasts are just supposed to entertain, to persuade, or to reassure people that everything is OK. Usually these various goals go unstated.”
Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, Unfortunately, people isn`t that good with forecasting.
Join Philip E. Tetlock journey of superforcasting , This summary of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction give you a roadmap on your way to forecasting.